NOAA Updates Hurricane Outlook

By Brian Alonzo

On Thursday August 5th, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a revised Hurricane Outlook for the Atlantic Basin. NOAA is forecasting a 70% chance of an active season. Even though its not as active as 2005, indications are there to suggest an active season. The warmer waters off the African coast (where storms form in late August into September), and a La Nina event going on in the Pacific Ocean which reduces wind shear in the Atlantic. When it comes to storm formation, you need to have little shear (winds coming from opposite directions in the different levels of the atmosphere).

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As of August 5th, there has been, Hurricane Alex which hit the northern Mexican coast. Tropical Depression #2 hit almost near where Alex made landfall and dumped heavy rain along the Rio Grande. Tropical Storm Bonnie was a fast moving storm that went over southern Florida in a few hours and got in between a powerful high pressure and low pressure system which virtually tore the storm apart in the Gulf of Mexico. As of 9pm Tropical Storm Colin was gaining strength headed for Bermuda.

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